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Post Positions Set For Kentucky Derby
Post  Positions Set For Kentucky DerbyWith the field set for the 137th running of the Kentucky Derby this Saturday, handicappers received a little more to work with as the post positions for the race were determined on Wednesday. Further muddying what was already a potentially wide open race due to the large 20 horse field, the two favorites were assigned historically difficult post positions. 3-1 favorite Looking At Lucky drew the rail, while the second choice in Kentucky Derby betting, 5-1 Sidney’s Candy will start from the outside post.


After pre-race favorite Eskendereya was forced to withdraw with a leg injury, the prevailing opinion was that this year’s Kentucky Derby was one that any of the 20 horses entered could win. The assignment of tricky post positions to the race favorites has only enhanced this perception. The last horse to win the Derby from the rail was Ferdinand in 1986, and none have finished in the money since Risen Star came in third in 1988.

Looking At Lucky’s trainer, Bob Baffert, didn’t mince words when discussing the post assignment:

"He's got to break well. Plan A is to break well. Plan B is we're screwed."

The outside post position has produced even fewer Derby winners historically, but much of that can be attributed to the rarity of a 20 horse field in the early years of the race. It’s become much more common in recent years, however, and a Kentucky Derby winner started from the 20 hole just two years ago when Big Brown took the roses. Handicappers are quick to point out that he was far superior to his rivals that year, which is not the case this time with a lot of parity throughout the field. The only other Derby winner to start from post 20 was Clyde Van Dusen in 1929 when the race had a walk up start before the advent of the modern starting gate.

Even the more favorable starting positions have their disadvantages—Todd Pletcher’s filly Devil May Care will start from the 11th position. Due to the large field, the gates will be double loaded starting with the #1 and #11 horses, then the #2 and #12 and so on. Pletcher’s only concern about his draw is the long time that Devil May Care will have to wait in the gate before the race begins:

"Eleven is a great position from which to start the race. The only thing I don't like is that she'll have to be in the gate a long time.”

Churchill downs linesmaker Mike Battaglia has installed Devil May Care as the third choice at 10-1, along with Awesome Act and Ice Box. Noble’s Promise, Conveyance and Dublin are 12-1 on the program line, while Super Saver and Jackson Bend are 15-1. The rest of the field is priced at 20-1 or higher.



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