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| Japan, Denmark Play ‘Winner Take All’ Game To Advance |
Denmark has shown flashes of brilliance at the 2010 World Cup, but hasn’t been able to put together a 90 minute effort. They did an exceptional job defending Holland for the first half of their opening game until an own goal forced them to go on attack and abandon their preferred tactical approach. They changed their strategy against Cameroon with a more aggressive approach and were rewarded with a victory. They enter this contest with a -1 goal differential, so they have to win to avoid elimination. Japan has looked impressive on defense during group play, allowing only a single goal to Holland. Unfortunately, Keisuke Honda’s counterattack score in their opening game against Cameroon is the only one that they’ve scored. Japan doesn’t have much of an offense, but they also enter this game with the bar for their advancement set lower. A ‘0’ goal differential to Denmark’s -1 means that if this contest ends in a draw Japan will be the beneficiary. Denmark has to be aggressive in this game since the only favorable outcome is a win, but this opens up the possibility of Japan scoring with their effective counterattack. Denmark will be without top defender Simon Kjaer here due to a booking he received late in the game against Cameroon. There’s a sense among fans that Denmark is a significant favorite to win this game and if that mindset extends to the players on the field it could be very dangerous. As far as Japan is concerned, team captain Makoto Hasebe has suggested that their coach Takeshi Okada won’t be looking to eke out a draw: "The coach has told us that in life you only get a few opportunities to reach the knockout stages of the World Cup and told us to give it our all.” Of course the reality is that Japan doesn’t need to win to take advantage of what Okada calls a ‘chance of a lifetime’ to reach the knockout stage. Don’t be surprised to see this game end in a draw which will see Japan through to the next round. The best soccer betting positions will be on Japan +1/2 on the handicap line or the draw on the three way line.
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One of the entrants in the second round from Group E is already known as Holland will advance, while Cameroon is eliminated. That makes this contest between Japan and Denmark a ‘winner take all’ affair where the parameters are simple and obvious—the team that wins will head to the next round while the loser goes home. Japan can also advance with a draw by virtue of a better goal differential.
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